Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 194.360957 217.635576 243.240202 273.610153 308.793253 348.441105 396.741732
2025-04-20 163.415998 195.394003 233.576366 283.000536 345.974767 424.476498 531.242211
2025-04-27 147.411957 184.171087 230.571016 294.409266 381.507227 498.520868 671.734314
2025-05-04 132.257068 170.841531 221.667576 295.016095 400.720158 551.721880 791.819187
2025-05-11 117.973720 156.462415 208.914837 287.595216 406.215736 584.645885 886.390338
2025-05-18 106.961289 145.123674 198.690733 281.828521 412.330608 618.076107 986.544097
2025-05-25 101.677377 141.159133 198.265408 290.056954 440.338206 689.378291 1163.992549
2025-06-01 94.949946 134.356180 192.798719 289.561553 453.799623 738.044432 1310.556618
2025-06-08 88.052622 126.643454 185.121823 284.465345 458.511344 771.612241 1434.736312
2025-06-15 83.262580 121.709636 181.235960 285.015036 472.800381 824.399072 1609.510841
2025-06-22 77.651841 115.037662 173.962851 278.947680 474.177257 852.456949 1737.041957
2025-06-29 73.493046 110.350746 169.498550 277.231460 483.271568 896.971155 1912.748267
2025-07-06 67.652438 102.645222 159.591873 265.124304 471.480540 897.774127 1986.758024
2025-07-13 66.034219 101.762358 161.139565 274.090498 502.556435 995.750592 2336.690689
2025-07-20 64.845899 101.482093 163.652414 285.059293 539.214421 1113.322096 2780.373687
2025-07-27 62.131822 98.400245 160.952656 285.642294 553.871738 1182.254856 3108.096378
2025-08-03 58.520522 93.531889 154.674552 278.510176 550.627261 1206.734661 3306.702756
2025-08-10 55.427642 89.387809 149.428569 272.966703 550.254520 1238.520181 3541.511729
2025-08-17 54.370502 88.783378 150.676188 280.876310 582.032564 1361.288301 4143.618143
2025-08-24 52.307482 86.236436 148.070072 280.400163 593.772696 1431.840486 4585.711400
2025-08-31 49.853645 82.837094 143.602155 275.501586 594.023202 1469.791840 4916.952753
2025-09-07 48.206961 80.832137 141.699414 276.029999 607.987394 1551.317706 5472.171856
2025-09-14 45.951870 77.573397 137.125282 270.196989 604.816219 1579.939359 5807.742061